12–17 Jul 2026
University of Graz
Europe/Vienna timezone

From Classrooms to Communities: Modeling the Impact of School-Based Interventions for Future Pandemic Response

16 Jul 2026, 17:20
20m
15.21 - SZ (University of Graz)

15.21 - SZ

University of Graz

90
Contributed Talk Mathematical Epidemiology Contributed Talks

Speaker

Ganna Rozhnova (University Medical Center Utrecht, The Netherlands)

Description

Introduction
Schools are a critical setting during respiratory pandemics. While their high-contact environments can amplify community transmission, they remain essential for children’s learning and wellbeing. The RE-PASS project develops a multi-scale modeling framework to support school-based interventions that balance infection control with minimizing educational disruption.

Methods
The framework captures transmission across three interconnected scales: 1) within-classroom dynamics reflecting daily interactions of students and teachers; 2) within-school transmission mediated by shared staff and cross-group contacts; and 3) a school–community network linking households, schools, and the community. Epidemiological states of individual agents are tracked daily, including time-dependent virus shedding. The framework is demonstrated using SARS-CoV-2 data from the early outbreak in the Netherlands before vaccines were available. The synthetic school–household network is based on Dutch data and incorporates socio-economic stratification.

Results
The model simulates outbreaks of respiratory pathogens and evaluates school-based interventions at multiple levels. In addition to epidemiological outcomes, it quantifies educational outcomes, including in-person learning days lost and projected learning loss.

Conclusion
This framework supports policy-relevant evaluation of school-based interventions by quantifying both health and educational impacts during future respiratory pandemics.

Authors

Alexandra Teslya (University Medical Center Utrecht, The Netherlands) Zicheng Fang (Wageningen University & Research) Büşra Atamer Balkan (Wageningen University & Research) Clarize De Korne (UMC Utrecht) Matthijs De Winter (National Institute of Public Health and the Environment (RIVM)) Lucie Vermeulen (National Institute of Public Health and the Environment (RIVM)) Quirine ten Bosch (Wageningen University & Research) Patricia Bruijning-Verhagen (UMC Utrecht) Ganna Rozhnova (University Medical Center Utrecht, The Netherlands)

Presentation materials

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