12–17 Jul 2026
University of Graz
Europe/Vienna timezone

Probing bacterial fitness in virtual chemostats

15 Jul 2026, 12:10
20m
15.27 - SR (University of Graz)

15.27 - SR

University of Graz

30
Contributed Talk Systems Biology and Biochemical Networks Contributed Talks

Speaker

Kaan Öcal (University of Melbourne)

Description

The growth rate of a bacterial population is a fundamental quantity in microbiology, but we lack the tools to predict it for realistic mathematical models. Based on an emerging connection between branching processes and statistical physics, I present a new method to compute growth rates numerically in virtual "chemostats". These provide accurate estimates of growth rates and evolutionary fitness in quadratic time, bypassing the exponential complexity typically associated with growing populations. The underlying principle can be applied to design lineage-tracking experiments that measure bacterial fitness in vitro. I apply these results to two computational models that illustrate how bacteria optimally navigate their environment (chemotaxis) and investigate the role of noise in bacterial responses to antibiotics.

Author

Kaan Öcal (University of Melbourne)

Co-authors

Lars Maas (University of Melbourne) Michael Stumpf (University of Melbourne)

Presentation materials

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