12–17 Jul 2026
University of Graz
Europe/Vienna timezone

Bridging Structured PDEs and ODE Models in Ovarian Follicle Dynamics

16 Jul 2026, 14:00
20m
15.05 - HS (University of Graz)

15.05 - HS

University of Graz

195
Contributed Talk Multiscale and Multiphysics Modelling Contributed Talks

Speaker

Claudio Iuliano (Anhalt University of Applied Sciences)

Description

Ovarian follicle development is commonly described either by compartmental models, in which each developmental stage is represented by a discrete compartment (e.g. \cite{Hendrix2014}), or by physiologically structured population models (PSPMs), formulated as transport PDEs, where each follicle is treated as a cell population distributed along a continuous maturation variable (e.g. \cite{Monniaux2016-oc}). The former reproduces the follicular and hormonal dynamics of a full menstrual cycle but does not account for multiscale structure or explicit follicular competition. The latter captures multiscale behaviour and competition at the level of total cell populations, similarly to the ODE system in \cite{FISCHERHOLZHAUSEN2022111150}, but lacks a direct link with compartmental models, so that the extension to a full-cycle description remains open.

We introduce a class of ODE systems obtained as finite-dimensional reductions of PSPMs via a perturbative moment closure. These systems provide backbone approximations of the structured dynamics: they retain the leading nonlinear mechanisms governing recruitment, selection, and atresia while projecting the cell maturation onto macroscopic variables. This establishes an explicit correspondence between PSPMs and compartmental models, leading to a tractable multiscale description of follicle development under different physiological and pathological scenarios.

Bibliography

@article{FISCHERHOLZHAUSEN2022111150,
title = {Hormonal regulation of ovarian follicle growth in humans: Model-based exploration of cycle variability and parameter sensitivities},
journal = {Journal of Theoretical Biology},
volume = {547},
pages = {111150},
year = {2022},
issn = {0022-5193},
doi = {https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2022.111150},
url = {https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022519322001485},
author = {Sophie Fischer-Holzhausen and Susanna Röblitz},
keywords = {HPG axis, Reproductive hormones, Mathematical modelling, Stochastic dynamical system},
abstract = {We present a modelling and simulation framework for the dynamics of ovarian follicles and key hormones along the hypothalamic-pituitary–gonadal axis throughout consecutive human menstrual cycles. All simulation results (hormone concentrations and ovarian follicle sizes) are in biological units and can easily be compared to clinical data. The model takes into account variability in follicles’ response to stimulating hormones, which introduces variability between cycles. The growth of ovarian follicles in waves is an emergent property in our model simulations and further supports the hypothesis that follicular waves are also present in humans. We use Approximate Bayesian Computation and cluster analysis to construct a population of virtual subjects and to study parameter distributions and sensitivities. The model can be used to compare and optimize treatment protocols for ovarian hyperstimulation, thus potentially forming the integral part of a clinical decision support system in reproductive endocrinology.}
}

@ARTICLE{Monniaux2016-oc,
title = "Multi-scale modelling of ovarian follicular development: From
follicular morphogenesis to selection for ovulation",
author = "Monniaux, Danielle and Michel, Philippe and Postel, Marie and
Cl{\'e}ment, Fr{\'e}d{\'e}rique",
abstract = "In this review, we present multi-scale mathematical models of
ovarian follicular development that are based on the embedding of
physiological mechanisms into the cell scale. During basal
follicular development, follicular growth operates through an
increase in the oocyte size concomitant with the proliferation of
its surrounding granulosa cells. We have developed a
spatio-temporal model of follicular morphogenesis explaining how
the interactions between the oocyte and granulosa cells need to
be properly balanced to shape the follicle. During terminal
follicular development, the ovulatory follicle is selected
amongst a cohort of simultaneously growing follicles. To address
this process of follicle selection, we have developed a model
giving a continuous and deterministic description of follicle
development, adapted to high numbers of cells and based on the
dynamical and hormonally regulated repartition of granulosa cells
into different cell states, namely proliferation, differentiation
and apoptosis. This model takes into account the hormonal
feedback loop involving the growing ovarian follicles and the
pituitary gland, and enables the exploration of mechanisms
regulating the number of ovulations at each ovarian cycle. Both
models are useful for addressing ovarian physio-pathological
situations. Moreover, they can be proposed as generic modelling
environments to study various developmental processes and cell
interaction mechanisms.",
journal = "Biol Cell",
volume = 108,
number = 6,
pages = "149--160",
month = feb,
year = 2016,
address = "England",
keywords = "Cell cycle; Follicle; Germ cell; Mathematical model; Ovary",
language = "en"
}

@Article{Hendrix2014,
author={Hendrix, Angelean O.
and Hughes, Claude L.
and Selgrade, James F.},
title={Modeling Endocrine Control of the Pituitary--Ovarian Axis: Androgenic Influence and Chaotic Dynamics},
journal={Bulletin of Mathematical Biology},
year={2014},
month={Jan},
day={01},
volume={76},
number={1},
pages={136-156},
abstract={Mathematical models of the hypothalamus-pituitary-ovarian axis in women were first developed by Schlosser and Selgrade in 1999, with subsequent models of Harris-Clark et al. (Bull. Math. Biol. 65(1):157--173, 2003) and Pasteur and Selgrade (Understanding the dynamics of biological systems: lessons learned from integrative systems biology, Springer, London, pp. 38--58, 2011). These models produce periodic in-silico representation of luteinizing hormone (LH), follicle stimulating hormone (FSH), estradiol (E2), progesterone (P4), inhibin A (InhA), and inhibin B (InhB). Polycystic ovarian syndrome (PCOS), a leading cause of cycle irregularities, is seen as primarily a hyper-androgenic disorder. Therefore, including androgens into the model is necessary to produce simulations relevant to women with PCOS. Because testosterone (T) is the dominant female androgen, we focus our efforts on modeling pituitary feedback and inter-ovarian follicular growth properties as functions of circulating total T levels. Optimized parameters simultaneously simulate LH, FSH, E2, P4, InhA, and InhB levels of Welt et al. (J. Clin. Endocrinol. Metab. 84(1):105--111, 1999) and total T levels of Sinha-Hikim et al. (J. Clin. Endocrinol. Metab. 83(4):1312--1318, 1998). The resulting model is a system of 16 ordinary differential equations, with at least one stable periodic solution. Maciel et al. (J. Clin. Endocrinol. Metab. 89(11):5321--5327, 2004) hypothesized that retarded early follicle growth resulting in ``stockpiling'' of preantral follicles contributes to PCOS etiology. We present our investigations of this hypothesis and show that varying a follicular growth parameter produces preantral stockpiling and a period-doubling cascade resulting in apparent chaotic menstrual cycle behavior. The new model may allow investigators to study possible interventions returning acyclic patients to regular cycles and guide developments of individualized treatments for PCOS patients.},
issn={1522-9602},
doi={10.1007/s11538-013-9913-7},
url={https://doi.org/10.1007/s11538-013-9913-7}
}

Authors

Alexander Lange (Anhalt University of Applied Sciences) Claudio Iuliano (Anhalt University of Applied Sciences) Edilbert Christhuraj (Anhalt University of Applied Sciences)

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