12–17 Jul 2026
University of Graz
Europe/Vienna timezone

Changing Connectivity: A Spatial Understanding of Bistable Coral Dynamics

MS131-03
16 Jul 2026, 15:50
20m
15.12 - HS (University of Graz)

15.12 - HS

University of Graz

175
Minisymposium Talk Population Dynamics, Ecology & Evolution Recent mathematical discoveries in Population Dynamics, Ecology and Evolution

Speaker

Jennifer Paige (University of California, Davis)

Description

Modeling coral ecosystems in a theoretical framework typically focuses on tradeoffs between coral, algae, and grazing fish populations, highlighting its bistable dynamics; however, spatial understanding of this system is often suppressed. Analysis of models with spatial features is crucial, as degraded, patchy reef systems become more common, and the size, clustering, or overall connectivity of these patches play a key role in the persistence and the emergent dynamics. More broadly, the implications of spatial heterogeneity and connectivity in systems with alternative stable states are complex and underexplored. In this work, we explore the long term dynamics, through both numerical and mathematical analysis, of a spatial model of a coral ecosystem, extended to multiple reef patches. Our results explore the “mixed-blessing” that connectivity can have on coral metacommunities.

Author

Jennifer Paige (University of California, Davis)

Co-authors

Alan Hastings (University of California, Davis; Santa Fe Institute) Ariel Greiner (University of New Hampshire)

Presentation materials

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