12–17 Jul 2026
University of Graz
Europe/Vienna timezone

Personalized treatment schedules for metastatic prostate cancer — A set of novel mathematical biomarkers

MS165-03
16 Jul 2026, 15:50
20m
05.12 - HS (University of Graz)

05.12 - HS

University of Graz

88

Speaker

Kit Gallagher (Harvard Medical School)

Description

Adaptive therapy is an evolution-based treatment paradigm in metastatic cancer, which dynamically adjusts treatment to control, rather than minimize, tumor burden. Promising clinical results in prostate cancer indicate the potential of adaptive treatment protocols to delay relapse, but demonstrate broad heterogeneity in patient response. This naturally leads to the question: why does this heterogeneity occur, and is a ‘one-size-fits-all' protocol best for all patients?

Using a Lotka-Volterra model for tumor dynamics, we predict the expected benefit of adaptive therapy and extend this to a trio of mathematical biomarkers that can predict the time to progression and mean daily dose under a range of clinically realistic treatment protocols. Our mathematical framework accurately identifies patients with the greatest delay to progression, or reduction in mean daily dose, enabled by adaptive therapy. Our novel mathematical biomarker approach stratifies patients into distinct treatment protocols based on their initial treatment response, allowing for a personalized, mathematically informed approach to treatment scheduling.

Bibliography

@article{Gallagher2025a,
title = {Deriving Optimal Treatment Timing for Adaptive Therapy: Matching the Model to the Tumor Dynamics},
volume = {87},
ISSN = {1522-9602},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11538-025-01525-y},
DOI = {10.1007/s11538-025-01525-y},
number = {10},
journal = {Bulletin of Mathematical Biology},
publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},
author = {Gallagher, Kit and Strobl, Maximilian A. R. and Anderson, Alexander R. A. and Maini, Philip K.},
year = {2025},
month = sep
}
@article{Gallagher2025b,
title = {Predicting Treatment Outcomes from Adaptive Therapy — A New Mathematical Biomarker},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2025.04.03.646615},
DOI = {10.1101/2025.04.03.646615},
publisher = {openRxiv},
author = {Gallagher, Kit and Strobl, Maximilian A. R. and Maini, Philip K. and Anderson, Alexander R. A.},
year = {2025},
month = apr
}

Author

Kit Gallagher (Harvard Medical School)

Co-authors

Alexander Anderson (Moffitt Cancer Center) Jingsong Zhang (Department of Genitourinary Oncology, Moffitt Cancer Center, Florida, USA.) Maximilian Strobl (Imperial College & The Institute of Cancer Research, UK) Philip Maini (Mathematical Institute, Oxford University) Robert Gatenby

Presentation materials

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