12–17 Jul 2026
University of Graz
Europe/Vienna timezone

Behavioral Adaptation to Novel Pandemics: Learning to Move from Mobility Restrictions to Less Costly Measures

MS173-03
13 Jul 2026, 15:40
20m
15.02 - HS (University of Graz)

15.02 - HS

University of Graz

121

Speaker

Binod Pant (Northeastern University)

Description

During the COVID-19 pandemic, individuals initially responded to epidemic risk through high-cost interventions such as mobility reduction. However, empirical data reveal that mobility reductions became less pronounced in later waves despite persistent death rates. This declining responsiveness likely reflects economic constraints, psychological fatigue, and learning about disease risk that shift individuals toward alternative cost-effective protective measures (e.g., mask wearing). Existing aggregate behavioral feedback models fail to capture this reallocation of protective behavior across interventions. In this study, we formalize this micro-level behavioral adaptation by incorporating an explicit learning mechanism, driven by accumulated pandemic experience, that shifts individuals from high-cost interventions (such as mobility reduction) toward lower-cost measures (such as mask wearing) within a risk-responsive epidemic model.

Author

Binod Pant (Northeastern University)

Co-authors

Ann Osi (Merck) Mauricio Santillana (Machine Intelligence Group for the Betterment of Health and the Environment, Northeastern University, Boston, MA, USA; Network Science Institute, Northeastern University, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA) Leah LeJeune (Virginia Tech) Lauren Childs (Virginia Tech) Navid Ghaffarzadegan (Virginia Tech)

Presentation materials

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