Speaker
Roberto Kraenkel
(UNESP)
Description
In this talk, we discuss the relationship between mosquito population dynamics and dengue fever case counts. Drawing on data from a specific city in Brazil, we analyze the primary drivers of dengue outbreaks and demonstrate that mosquito population dynamics alone are not a reliable predictor of outbreaks. Instead, climatic factors and the immunological status of the population appear to be the main factors explaining the variability in yearly occurrences. To reach these conclusions, we employ techniques from machine learning and attractor reconstruction in dynamical systems.
Author
Roberto Kraenkel
(UNESP)
