Speaker
Jacques Bélair
(Université de Montréal)
Description
Management of the COVID-19 pandemic required in its early stages the deployment of non pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) [social isolation, physical distancing, mask-wearing, hand-washing]. We analyse a simple model to illustrate the consequences, for the evolution of the disease, of variable, dynamic individual compliance to these measures: the model divides a population in uninformed, informed-compliant and informed-noncompliant subpopulations. Conditions for the existence of multiple stable equilibria will be discussed as well as the consequences for the control of the infection.
Author
Jacques Bélair
(Université de Montréal)